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经济决策定量方法2025|PDF|Epub|mobi|kindle电子书版本百度云盘下载

经济决策定量方法
  • 李军，孙彦彬编著 著
  • 出版社： 广州：华南理工大学出版社
  • ISBN：7562325553
  • 出版时间：2007
  • 标注页数：249页
  • 文件大小：12MB
  • 文件页数：258页
  • 主题词：经济决策：定量决策－双语教学－高等学校－教材－英、汉

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图书目录

CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION TO QUANTITATIVE1

METHODS FOR DECISION MAKING1

1.1　Quantitative Methods:A Continuing Story of Success1

1.2 Management Science and Operations Research2

1.3 The Importance of Studying Quantitative Methods2

Main words or phrases3

CHAPTER 2 FORECASTING5

2.1 Forecasting Using Past Data:Time-series Analysis5

2.2 Exponential Smoothing7

2.3 Forecasting Trend Using Regression11

Main words or phrases19

CHAPTER 3 INVENTORY MODELS21

3.1 Introduction21

3.2 The Economic Order Quantity(EOQ)Model24

3.3 Optimal Inventory Policy with Backordering28

3.4 Economic Production Lot-size Model29

3.5 Single-period Inventory Decisions with Uncertain Factors32

3.6 Multi-period Inventory Policies with Uncertain Factors36

Main words or phrases41

CHAPTER 4 LINEAR PROGRAMMING43

4.1 Introduction43

4.2 Formulation of Linear Programming Models44

4.3 Graphical Solution of Linear Programs45

4.4 Linear Program in Standard Form51

4.5 Simplex Method52

4.6 Use of Artificial Variables59

Main words or phrases62

CHAPTER 5 TRANSPORTATION PROBLEMS63

5.1 A Shipment-Scheduling Case63

5.2 Getting Started:The Northwest Corner Ruler64

5.3 Getting Started:The Least Cost Ruler66

5.4 Getting Started:The Vogel's Approximation Ruler68

5.5 Solving the Problem:The Simplex Analogy70

Main words or phrases76

CHAPTER 6 PROJECT PLANNING WITH PERT77

6.1 The Basic Concepts of PERT78

6.2 An Analysis of the PERT Network83

6.3 Planning and Control Using the PERT Network89

6.4 Time-Cost Trade-off Evaluations with PERT94

6.5 Probabilistic PERT Analysis with Three Time Estimates101

Main words or phrases103

CHAPTER 7 DECISION MAKING106

7.1 The Certainty and Uncertainty in Decision Making106

7.2 The Elements of Decisions107

7.3 The Bayes Decision Rule108

7.4 The Decision Tree Analysis111

7.5 Decision Making Using Experimental Information117

7.6 Decision Making Using Normal Distribution124

7.7 Decision Making with Utility139

Main words or phrases160

CHAPTER 8 GAMES-INTERACTIVE DECISIONS164

8.1 Game Theory164

8.2 Major Game Types and Their Solutions169

8.3 Some Properties of Zero-Sum Games175

8.4 Mixed Strategies in Games with no Equilibrium Act Pair178

8.5 Mixed Strategies in Larger Games186

8.6 Additional Remarks189

Main words or phrases190

CHAPTER 9 DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING193

9.1 The Stagecoach Problem194

9.2 Types of Dynamic Programs198

9.3 The Knapsack Problem200

9.4 Maximizing System Reliability206

9.5 Optimizing Multi-period Inventories and Production208

9.6 Probabilistic Dynamic Programming211

Main words or phrases212

CHAPTER 10 RANDOM PROCESSES213

10.1 Discrete Time Processes213

10.2 Continuous Time Processes226

Main words or phrases243

参考文献246

教学大纲247

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